Army rolled, Air Force got back to winning ways, and Navy lost, but at least put up their best performance of the season in doing so. All three are back in action this week.
Week Results: 2-1. Air Force was the miss again this week at the Falcons completely shut down a talented FAU offense in a big 31-7 win.
Closest Pick: I was finally close on a pick here. The Navy @ Houston game finished just a combined seven points outside of my prediction. Acceptable.
Season Results: 7-3 (70%). Last week I was at (71.4%).
Army @ Ball State – Army is just a much better team than Ball State. The Black Knights are sixth in the nation in third-down conversions and have just one turnover on the year. The Black Knights offense will be able to control tempo here and if they get the same explosive plays this week that they did from Christian Anderson last week – two 70+ yard rushing scores – then lookout. Army 42, Ball State 17.
Air Force @ New Mexico – The Air Force defense that looked lost against Utah State bounced back in a massive way last time out against an FAU offense that is way better than the Falcons allowed them to be. Air Force needs a win here to avoid dropping into a 0-2 conference hole and they should be able to pull it off against a Lobos’ squad with a quarterback in Terry Wilson that is clearly banged up and a defense that won’t be able to shut Air Force down. As long as turnovers are eliminated – or at least kept to a minimum – this should be a comfortable road win. Air Force 41, New Mexico 17.
Navy vs. UCF – Navy looked the best it has all season in the defeat last time out against Houston. The triple-option offense finally started to click for the first time in an age, while the defense held up better than it has all year. Being ahead of the chains will be key for Navy and they get to face a UCF team reeling from both an astonishing loss to Louisville – back-to-back interceptions that led to a Louisville win in the last 25 seconds – and a potential season-ending injury to starting quarterback Dillon Gabriel. I’m going with a Navy upset based on the UCF quarterback situation in a sloppy game. Navy 20, UCF 17.