Getting started on my picks for the year a week late as the season snuck up on me. Looks like I didn’t miss much in Week 1 as Air Force rolled, while Army and Navy both underwhelmed. Let’s hope for a better week from the Academies this time out.
Week Results: NA
Closest Pick: NA
Worst Pick: NA
Season Results: NA
Colorado @ Air Force – Colorado just doesn’t move the ball well enough offensively to be a threat here. Air Force, by contrast, was right back on the horse against Northern Iowa, doing whatever it wanted to offensively in a big win. The Troy Calhoun offense seems to be the most difficult of the three triple-option attacks to prepare for, and with Air Force favored by an impressive 17.5 points here, I expect them not only to win but to run away from the Buffaloes in the second half. Air Force 42, Colorado 20.
Memphis @ Navy – Memphis traveled to Starkville last weekend with high hopes of taking down Mississippi State on its own field. What happened was a clinic in the difference between the SEC and the AAC. The Bulldogs’ boat raced the Tigers out of the building on the arm of Will Rogers, who threw for over 450 yards and five touchdowns Navy was busy getting its season off to a disappointing start, with Ken Niumatalolo’s offense never getting going as the Mids fell 14-7 to Delaware. Of the two, I like the chances of Memphis rebounding better here. Memphis 31, Navy 14.
UTSA @ Army – UTSA was 12-2 last year, and quarterback Frank Harris was exceptional against Houston in Week 1. The Cougars were ranked No. 24 at the time, but Harris had UTSA up 21-7 late before losing triple-overtime. He had three touchdowns passing and one on the ground, and he will be a significant problem for the Black Knights. Army was good in the first half against Coastal Carolina but lost the time of possession by 12 minutes overall. That is not sustainable for the Black Knights, but I think it will be another week before they get on the winning trail. UTSA 38, Army 28.